For lack of a final count, due to spectacular dysfunctions in the first state to rule, Iowa, the democratic voters had to be satisfied with partial results at 71%, Tuesday, February 4. They were very supportive of the youngest in the race, Pete Buttigieg, almost completely unknown when he declared his candidacy in March 2019, and who defends a pragmatism turned towards the reunification of a divided country. The latter, former openly gay mayor of a small town in Indiana, obtained 26.8% of the delegates, ahead of Vermont senator Bernie Sanders (25.2%) and Massachusetts senator Elizabeth Warren (18.4 %), both further left. The Midwestern state win should be between the first two.
These partial results, however, are very poor for former Vice President Joe Biden, yet the best known of all because of the eight years spent alongside a very popular Democratic President, Barack Obama. Mr. Biden had put into perspective the importance of Iowa for his candidacy for a long time, but, by gleaning only 15.4% of the delegates, he maintains the doubts that it carries, illustrated in particular by its difficulty in raising funds the country. The former senator from Delaware puts everything on the base he has within the African-American electorate which will be decisive in particular in South Carolina, at the end of February, but the next stage of the New Hamsphire, where voters will vote on the 11th, may already be crucial for him.
This meeting in New Hampshire is favorable on the contrary to the senator from neighboring Vermont: Bernie Sanders is well placed to win, as it had already done in 2016. The unprecedented communication of the popular vote during the two rounds of Iowa has also turned to its advantage; he came out on top with over a thousand votes ahead of Mr. Buttigieg. The difference between the two men in the two provisional rankings (percentages of delegates and votes) is due to the youngest ability in the race to attract voters who had run for other candidates in the first round of caucus.
Design error
By obtaining, according to the partial accounts communicated on Tuesday, 18.4% of the delegates, Elizabeth Warren also obtains a good score, but she is clearly outdistanced by the undisputed champion of the democratic left wing with which she shares the project of radical reforms . The stage in New Hampshire, a neighbor of its state of election, will also be decisive for her, as for her colleague from Minnesota, Amy Klobuchar, who has just arrived just behind Joe Biden for the moment thanks to an unexpected but insufficient mobilization. .
