Bernie Sanders on the verge of losing the Democratic nomination race

In Miami, Florida on March 17.
In Miami, Florida on March 17. MARCO BELLO / REUTERS

While the Iowa caucus, the first leg of the Democratic nomination contest for the presidential election of November 3, was held on February 3, "Le Monde" launches its campaign logbook. A daily update, five days a week until September, with campaign facts, political advertisements, polls, maps and figures that allow you to follow and experience the most important electoral competition in the world.

Remained silent, Tuesday evening March 17, for the second consecutive electoral evening, Bernie Sanders knew in advance that it would be complicated for him in three states that he had not been able to win in 2016, during his first presidential nomination: Florida, Illinois and Arizona.

Not only did it not surprise, but it was clearly in retreat vis-a-vis the former vice-president Joe Biden, big winner of this new meeting. The latter appears as the candidate capable of fulfilling the main mission that Democratic voters expect of the latter: to beat Donald Trump in November.

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The senator finds his back to the wall. Unable to get more than 40% of the delegates who will theoretically vote in July at the Milwaukee National Convention so far, he must now capture more than 58% of the rest to keep on hoping. This objective seems all the more out of reach since the majority of the states, which voted in favor in 2016, have already voted: it no longer has any reservations.

The dramatic turn taken by the covid-19 epidemic in the United States also weighs at the expense of Bernie Sanders. The Vermont senator focused his campaign on the need for a " political revolution ", Very ambitious. The former vice president, on the contrary, highlights his experience in managing comparable health crises and repeats that voters " want results ", A message more suited to an emergency situation.

A CNN Illinois poll of Democrats on Tuesday highlighted this benefit: Joe Biden is on trial " able to handle a major crisis By 64% of respondents, compared to only 31% for Bernie Sanders. Likewise, 74% of those questioned consider the former vice president to be the most capable of " unify the country », Against only 21% for the independent senator.

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