Thanks to the Democratic convention, which inducted Joe Biden as his party’s candidate for the November 3 presidential election, The world relaunched its campaign log. A daily update, with campaign facts, political advertisements, polls, maps and figures that allow you to follow and experience the most important electoral competition in the world.
The name of the candidate promised Saturday, September 19 by Donald Trump to replace Ruth Bader Ginsburg, icon of women’s struggles at the Supreme Court, is not yet known but the battle for confirmation by the United States Senate is already underway. As after the brutal death of conservative judge Antonin Scalia, in February 2016, the leader of the Republican majority immediately cut his cards by affirming that ” the president’s candidate [Donald] Trump will be entitled to a vote inside the United States Senate ”. Four years ago, the same Mitch McConnell blocked the choice of Democratic President Barack Obama by assuring that the latter had lost all legitimacy eleven months after his departure from the White House.
The calculation of the leader of the Republican majority, master of the agenda of the upper assembly, is not in doubt. He is convinced that he can rally behind him the majority who acquitted Donald Trump in February, after his indictment by the House of Representatives. The equation is however much more complex than at the start of the year, for questions of electoral fortune as well as of calendar.
With only three votes in advance, the Republican majority remains fragile. Mitch McConnell is betting on pressure from the conservative base, on a subject that could potentially have repercussions on the right to abortion, an essential marker of the “cultural war” between the two major American parties. The Conservative camp can lose three votes and still achieve its goals thanks to the vote of Vice President Mike Pence, who is also the Speaker of the Senate.
The most closely watched names are the same as in February: they are those of Senators Susan Collins (Maine), whose re-election in November is not guaranteed, Lisa Murkowski (Alaska) and Mitt Romney (Utah ). The first two, rather centrist, do not want to be associated with a limitation of the right to abortion. Susan Collins was the first, after the death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg, to plead on Saturday that the nomination be made by the president-elect on November 3, the position taken by the Grand Old Party in 2016.
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