In Canada, Conservatives believe in their chances

40-year-old Conservative leader Andrew Scheer is likely the only candidate to have a chance to return to Liberal prime minister Justin Trudeau on October 21 in the legislative election.

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Canadian Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer at a rally in Richmond Hill, Ontario on October 19th.
Canadian Conservative Party leader Andrew Scheer at a rally in Richmond Hill, Ontario on October 19th. CARLOS OSORIO / REUTERS

At a meeting in La Prairie, in the southern suburbs of Montreal, on Tuesday, October 15, Canadian Conservative candidate Andrew Scheer motivated his troops, along with his wife Jill and their five children. In front of a handful of representatives of his party, he mixed anecdotes of youth, references to popular culture and electoral promises, as he does at each of his appearances.

The outcome of the October 21 federal election is more than ever uncertain: Conservatives and Liberals are 32.5% and 31.9% respectively of voting intentions (Nanos-Globe-CTV poll). It is estimated that 34% of the voters still undecided, including nearly 10% who will confirm their choice in the voting booth, according to the polling institute Leger.

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Despite a flawless political career, elected to the province of Saskatchewan for five consecutive terms, then Speaker of the House of Commons in 2011, and Leader of the Conservative Party in 2017, Andrew Scheer, 40, candidate for the post of Prime Minister , has difficulty mobilizing beyond his base and making himself known, which puts him at a disadvantage compared to Justin Trudeau.

However, his personality contrasts with that of Stephen Harper, Conservative Prime Minister from 2006 to 2015, criticized for his cold and austere attitude. Ideologically more conservative than the latter on family and moral issues, he is against abortion, same-sex marriage and the legalization of cannabis. A practicing Catholic whose nursing mother was involved in the anti-abortion movement, the candidate nevertheless promised that he would vote against any measure aimed at reopening the debate on the subject, legal in Canada since 1988.

His priority in power will be to abolish the Trudeau government's carbon tax to fight global warming, Andrew Scheer "Ineffective". Promoting a local oil production, he repeated throughout the campaign his desire to build a "Energy corridor", thus endowing the world's fourth largest producer of black gold with infrastructure projects.

"Extravagant deficit"

He focused his campaign on lowering taxes for "Put more money in the pockets of Quebecers" and is committed to bringing the country back to a balanced budget in five years. In recent years, public debt has risen from C $ 616 billion (€ 420 billion), when Justin Trudeau took office during the 2015-2016 fiscal year to $ 685.5 billion in 2018-2019. , the country, however, showing good economic health.

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