Donald Trump campaigns for two potentially crucial voices

President Donald Trump campaigns in Levant, Maine, October 25.

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Donald Trump visited Maine, a strong Democratic stronghold, on Sunday, October 25, and will be in Nebraska on Tuesday, where the Republican stranglehold is not contested. The reason for these apparently little logical shifts from the point of view of the electoral map is explained by a peculiarity: these two States are the only ones where the rule of “Winner takes all” (winner takes all) does not apply for the presidential election.

Maine gives two of its four major voters to the candidate who garners the most votes at the state level and two more to those who win in the two separate districts, one rather urban, the other rural. In 2016, Donald Trump created a surprise in the second. He had become the first Republican to do so since George H. W. Bush in 1988, the last Republican to win all of Maine’s voters. No Republican had won a successful voter in a New England state since George W. Bush triumphed in New Hampshire in 2000.

In Nebraska, two of the five major voters go to the candidate who won the most state-level votes, and three more votes are up for grabs in three districts. Democratic candidate Joe Biden is currently well positioned to win the one at stake in the second district which encompasses the city of Omaha, while his Republican opponent is expected to triumph in the other two, very rural.

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If he succeeds, the Democrat will be the first since Barack Obama in 2008 to win a vote in this conservative stronghold. For the first time, the electoral delegation from Nebraska had been divided within the electoral college. Nebraska’s last vote for a Democrat dates back to 1964 and the election of Lyndon Johnson. The latter then won the five major voters in play.

These two votes within the electoral college could prove to be decisive in the event of a particularly close vote. If Donald Trump lost for example two states won to everyone’s surprise in 2016, Pennsylvania and Michigan, while retaining Wisconsin. He would definitely need the two votes of Maine and Nebraska to win on the wire with 270 voters, the minimum number required, against 268 for the Democrat.

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