Bernie Sanders' Narrow Road

Bernie Sanders, in Burlington, Vermont, March 4.
Bernie Sanders, in Burlington, Vermont, March 4. ALEX WONG / AFP

While the Iowa caucus, the first leg of the Democratic nomination contest for the presidential election of November 3, was held on February 3, "Le Monde" launches its campaign logbook. A daily update, five days a week until September, with campaign facts, political advertisements, polls, maps and figures that allow you to follow and experience the most important electoral competition in the world.

After billionaire Michael Bloomberg's resignation and his support for former vice president Joe Biden on Wednesday, March 4, the job is getting tough for independent Vermont senator Bernie Sanders.

After having dominated the race for the democratic nomination in the first States, here it is confronted with an unexpected dynamic. While the candidates who defended more moderate positions than his group all gathered behind Joe Biden, he suffered immediately from the presence of Senator Elizabeth Warren, still in the race on Wednesday despite severe setbacks in his own state , Massachusetts, and she too row to the left.

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Bernie Sanders recorded precious victories on Tuesday, especially in California where he will obtain the largest number of delegates. He is in fact in a much better position in this regard than in 2016, when he had been clearly ahead at this time of the race by the favorite, Hillary Clinton in what was already a duel, which was not the case Tuesday.

However, he no longer benefits from the rejection that it aroused and his electorate has shrunk while he is no more capable than four years ago of seducing the African-Americans who are behind the come -back history of the former vice-president. In North Carolina, for example, it had largely won in 2016 among non-qualified voters (57%) as well as among the self-employed (58%). Joe Biden tied the game on Tuesday with the undergraduates and narrowed the gap for the independents (29%, compared to 34% for Bernie Sanders).

Finally, when participation was up sharply, notably in Virginia, North Carolina, Texas or Massachusetts, it played for the benefit of moderates, as in New Hampshire on February 10. A disavowal for Bernie Sanders who tirelessly praises his supposed capacity to bring back to the polls by the boldness of his proposals a particularly young electorate who turns away from it.


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