The cost of a second term Trump

President Donald Trump on campaign in Florida, November 26, 2019. YURI GRIPAS / REUTERS

UA 86-year-old old lady was hospitalized last weekend and the news seized with dread everything that Washington counts of Democrats, that is to say, almost the entire electorate of the federal capital. Few things are as precious to them for another year as the health of Ruth Bader Ginsburg.

Ruth Bader Ginsburg knows it. It's her fourth stay in the hospital in a year, but this small, frail woman clings to life with all the determination she's capable of – and she's not lacking in it. Ruth Bader Ginsburg is one of nine judges of the United States Supreme Court, these judges appointed for life by the president; the political equilibrium, by random definition, of the highest jurisdiction may depend on fundamental decisions for American society.

Judge Bader Ginsburg – immortalized in 2018 by the film An exceptional woman – was appointed by President Bill Clinton, and is progressive; out of nine, they are currently only four judges appointed by Democratic presidents – two by Clinton, two by Obama. The other five were named one by Bush's father (Clarence Thomas), two by his son and two by Donald Trump.

If Ruth Bader Ginsburg dies under the Republican presidency, the Supreme Court will then be very clearly anchored on the conservative side, with a majority of six to three. And for a long time. That can change a lot of things about the right to abortion, gay rights, positive discrimination, and all kinds of social issues that the Supreme Court is regularly asked to rule on.

Priority to the control of the judiciary

Judge Bader Ginsburg returned home on Monday. She's fine, said her entourage, it was only a feverish episode. But this alert illustrates the whole issue of a second term for Donald Trump: the next president will probably have the opportunity to choose one or two judges for the Supreme Court. If it is the same, it will print more deeply its mark on the American society, whose elections, in number of votes, show however that it is not predominantly trumpiste.

"If he wins a second term, the damage he will cause could be fatal," billionaire Michael Bloomberg

This is the risk that, indirectly, the billionaire Michael Bloomberg raised by launching Sunday in the race for the Democratic nomination for the presidential election: the country can not afford, he warned, "Four more years of immoral and irresponsible actions by Donald Trump. If he wins a second term, the damage he will cause could be fatal. "

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