the 18-29 year olds vote for Joe Biden

Thanks to the Democratic convention, which inducted Joe Biden as his party’s candidate for the November 3 presidential election, The world relaunched its campaign log. A daily update, with campaign facts, political advertisements, polls, maps and figures that allow you to follow and experience the most important electoral competition in the world.

The publication of the political barometer of American youth drawn up by the Institute of Politics at the Harvard Kennedy School is still eagerly awaited a few months before the presidential election. The 18-29 age group is regularly a source of disappointment for the Democratic Party, with which it overwhelmingly identifies. This age group is in fact renowned for its low voter turnout, a concern highlighted during the midterm elections by a devastating campaign advertisement in which elderly Republican voters quipped about a generation quick to mobilize on social networks but often abstainer.

During the nomination primaries, the 18-29-year-olds had focused heavily on the candidacy of the independent senator from Vermont Bernie Sanders, clearly beaten by the former vice-president. But the results of the survey conducted from August 28 to September 9, and whose margin of error is 3.2 points, show that two-thirds of those questioned (63%) nevertheless assure that they will vote on the 3 November. This is a much higher figure than in 2016 (47%) when Hillary Clinton was nominated. It is even comparable to the figure recorded in the year of the first candidacy of Barack Obama (62%), in 2008. The actual participation of young people, that year, had reached 48.7%.

Within this age group, Joe Biden, even if he arouses less passion among people who plan to vote for him than Donald Trump among young Republicans, is widely required in terms of voting intentions (60 % against 27% for the outgoing president). This is again a figure much higher than that of 2016 (49%) at the same time of the campaign, and comparable to that of 2008 (59%). The difference with the voting intentions in favor of Hillary Clinton is explained by the attractiveness, at the time, of small candidates. While 19% planned to vote for one of them in 2016, they are only 6% to do so this year, under the obvious effect of a useful voting reflex.

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